U.S. strikes Iran, SpaceX's unique IPO, Kalshi's insider trading fight and more in Morning Squawk

Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day.

U.S. strikes Iran, SpaceX's unique IPO, Kalshi's insider trading fight and more in Morning Squawk

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Happy Wednesday. Keep an eye out for the latest consumer inflation data dropping at 8:30 a.m. ET. If Wall Street's consensus forecast comes true, it would mark the first time annual price growth registers above 4% since 2023.

Stock futures are lower this morning following a mixed day on Wall Street.

Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:

1. 'Pay the price'

A pro-government supporter waves a giant Iranian national flag during a nightly rally in northern Tehran, Iran, on June 8, 2026.

Morteza Nikoubazl | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Stock futures are falling before the bell after President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post this morning that Iran "will have to pay the price" after taking "too long to negotiate a deal." His comments come after the U.S. launched what it called "self-defense strikes" on Iran yesterday.

Here's what to know:

Trump on Tuesday accused Tehran of shooting down a helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz, saying that the U.S. must "respond to this attack."Iran has not directly claimed responsibility for downing the helicopter but reportedly vowed to retaliate for the U.S. strikes. It targeted several Gulf countries with attacks early Wednesday.Oil prices jumped after Trump's latest post, which diverged from other recent comments from the president that indicated the conflict could be near its end.Crude prices tumbled yesterday after U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is rising "very meaningfully." Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average are more than 400 points lower in premarket trading. Follow live market updates here.

2. Risky business

Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump gesture outside the Nasdaq building after ringing the opening bell to celebrate the closing of ALT5’s $1.5 billion offering and adoption of its $WLFI Treasury Strategy at the Nasdaq Market, in New York City, U.S., August 13, 2025.

Eduardo Munoz | Reuters

The Trump family was entitled to around half a billion dollars from a crypto transaction last year. But as CNBC's Matt Peterson reports, the investors didn't fare nearly as well.

Shares of what was then called Alt5 Sigma, one of the companies involved in the deal, have plunged more than 90% since just before the transaction was announced. A rebrand to become AI Financial Corp. hasn't helped, and the company has warned investors that it may not be able to remain in business. The stock could be delisted from the Nasdaq if it doesn't exit penny-stock territory.

Watchdogs and former regulators say the Securities and Exchange Commission should investigate the company's disclosures and relationship with the Trump family. The White House said there are no conflicts of interest involving the family in the transactions.

3. Final check

SpaceX signage outside the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. facility in Hawthorne, California, on June 3, 2026.

Michael Yanow | Nurphoto | Getty Images

SpaceX's IPO is unique in more ways than one. For starters, it's offering a take-it-or-leave-it price instead of offering a range and pricing based on demand. The rocket startup is also aiming to allocate 30% of shares being sold to retail investors, much higher than IPO's typical range of 5% to 10%.

People familiar with the matter told CNBC that SpaceX plans to stop taking orders today. That will give the Elon Musk-led company more time to allocate shares tomorrow ahead of its Friday debut.

Meanwhile, sources told CNBC that more than 100 current and former SpaceX employees have banded together to have their newfound wealth managed following the IPO. The group has created a new, low-fee offering with Choreo, a Chicago-based investment advisor.

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4. Public debut

Mattias Balk | Picture Alliance | Getty Images

Anthropic announced its latest artificial intelligence model yesterday, two months after it privately rolled out its Mythos model amid concerns that its advanced cybersecurity capabilities could cause harm if it landed in the wrong hands.

Anthropic said Claude Fable 5 is equally powerful to Mythos but has new safeguards that can block responses in high-risk areas such as cybersecurity and biology. The model will be available for enterprise customers and paid users.

As CNBC's Ashley Capoot notes, Anthropic is making good on its "eventual goal" to roll out Mythos-class models at scale. The announcement also helps build investor buzz ahead of a potential IPO as soon as this year.

5. Insider information

Kalshi's logo appears on a smartphone placed on a reflective surface, with a blurry betting curve projected in the background in Creteil, France, on March 9, 2026, during a major scandal and $54 million lawsuit concerning bets related to recent strikes in Iran.

Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Kalshi is trying to crack down on insider trading. The prediction market platform said yesterday that it will start to require traders' employment information in certain cases and offer an enhanced whistleblower feature, amid increased scrutiny of possible insider trading on prediction markets.

Kalshi will now provide a "risk score" for markets with the potential for manipulation or insider trading. If the market's score meets a certain level, traders will then have to verify their employment.

Speaking of Kalshi: The company told CNBC that it crossed the $1 billion volume mark for perpetual futures within a week of the offering's launch. CEO Tarek Mansour told CNBC's "Fast Money" yesterday that the results of the rollout have been "incredible."

The Daily Dividend

FIFA President Gianni Infantino sat down with CNBC's Sara Eisen ahead of the World Cup, which is set to begin this week. Despite concerns among consumers about ticket prices, Infantino said there has never been such high demand.

"It's a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity."

Gianni Infantino

FIFA President

CNBC's April Roach, Kevin Breuninger, Spencer Kimball, Ananya Chetia, Sean Conlon, Matt Peterson, Ari Levy, Leslie Picker, Robert Frank, Ashley Capoot and Davis Giangiulio contributed to this report.

CJ Haddad assisted in the production of this newsletter. Josephine Rozzelle edited this edition.

Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.